The Market Could Break Either Way Here
May 30, 2008 10:02 AM
The market is bouncing right on top of a key SMA line this morning right around 1399. It would need to go lower and hold lower to cause some issues here. I do not like SMA bounces as you are watching a moving target. Will take a little time to know the direction here.
I think there will be an effort to close the market above 1383 today. If they cannot, I believe big trouble is brewing.
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Watch out for yesterdays high of 1407 here….
If we are going to clear yesterdays high here, we shouldn’t go much lower than 1401.50 or so here…
I shorted 1404.25…was early, but I know my exit, 1407…
I flattened it at 1403….Hard to know here…We would have to get under 1401 or so and hold for time to cause problems….so i scalped and ran…
Careful long here…possible reversal….but we are above 3 key sma’s…so this could break either way. This may get going here….I went short again at 1403…
I wouldnt short here unless scalping though….we need to get under 1400 or so to really put some pressure on…
I covered again at 1402…but this high could lead to some trouble if we cannot clear it…
Should have stayed short…ha…. We need to hold under here for some time to really get this going….
I do NOT like any of the lows we have put in up here. If we lose SMA support here, this is a house of cards I believe…
It looks like it is trying to hold 1399 here..but i have no firm number up here to hold…the key sma’s are causing support here…
In theory (my theory)…we have to “lower before higher” avoid any bounced here unless they are short
It is sitting right on an sma….thats the only thing holding the market here…it may take some time….
This is a 5 min reversal off 1399.50 and right on an sma….I DONT TRUST THIS BOUNCE….
It looks like if we can get under 1399 before 11:30 we will get pressure…
New recent low of 1399……..
1398.25….
This should not be the low…
Hmm…buying there…not sure why…
Hmm…this low appears to be complete nonsense…not sure why we are bouncing here…I see no indication of a low…
I am done with the futures for the day…best of luck..